India is currently on the top spot in Group 1 after their dramatic win over Bangladesh on Wednesday.
The men in blue have six points from four matches, having won three and lost one.
They are one point ahead of South Africa and two points ahead of third-placed Bangladesh.
South Africa’s stunning loss to Pakistan ensured that India continued to rule the points table.
However, they are not completely safe yet.
It can be argued that with their thrilling win against Bangladesh on Wednesday, India are one of favourites to go through to the semi-finals from Group 1.
But any prediction should be taken with a pinch of salt.
The T20 World Cup has seen a plethora of upsets.
Even the matches that didn’t produce an upset went down to the wire.
Australia barely managed to beat Afghanistan and India was lucky that the rains intervened against Bangladesh.
Even now, there is a distinct possibility of either the Proteas or the Indians losing their spot to Pakistan.
If India lose their last match to Zimbabwe and Pakistan manage to beat Bangladesh, all calculations will go topsy turvy.
South Africa is almost certain to beat Netherlands. Also, their run rate is very good (1.441). This means,the Proteas are almost assured of a semi-final slot.
Pakistan’s rate is 1.117 whereas India’s is 0.73.
This means that if India lose to Zimbabwe and Pakistan triumph against Bangladesh, the arch rivals will have 6 points each.
However Pakistan will go through as they have a better run rate.
Bangladesh has a run rate of -1.27 and even if they upset Pakistan, they are certain to be eliminated.
Even Zimbabwe is virtually out of contention with just 3 points and one match left to play.
Pakistan are still in the race for the semis but their fate is not in their hands.
However, India need to win their final Super 12 match to confirm a place for themselves in the final four.
